Premier League kickoff: who is going to be victorious?

To mark the start of the 2023/24 Premier League season, let’s briefly step aside from the sportswashing posts to assess how this season might go:

A few things to note:

  • Bookmakers are a little gun-shy on outsiders since Leicester’s incredible 2016 victory. No club this year is given the 5000-1 odds the Foxes won with that season — Luton are the least favoured team this year at 3000-1.
  • Just seven teams are given greater than a 1% chance of success: the financially mighty six sides who signed up for the European Super League, added to by Newcastle and their Saudi-stocked coffers.
  • Only nine of the twenty teams have better than a 0.15% chance of victory. The seven above plus Brighton and Aston Villa.

Still, best league in the world, isn’t it?